Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.466781 0.543763 0.629120 0.730737 0.848384 0.980277 1.139351
2025-02-16 0.339770 0.442459 0.569086 0.736513 0.951921 1.219626 1.577576
2025-02-23 0.269323 0.379767 0.526664 0.735921 1.026008 1.413660 1.970949
2025-03-02 0.220798 0.332293 0.490040 0.728827 1.080543 1.579012 2.338842
2025-03-09 0.187451 0.298505 0.464270 0.728725 1.139158 1.751017 2.731816
2025-03-16 0.155927 0.261327 0.426445 0.702642 1.151949 1.852867 3.028256
2025-03-23 0.145717 0.255650 0.435474 0.749262 1.281571 2.146175 3.655292
2025-03-30 0.125033 0.229117 0.406507 0.728711 1.297420 2.257056 3.996565
2025-04-06 0.107358 0.204964 0.377863 0.703977 1.301423 2.346220 4.308279
2025-04-13 0.092975 0.184536 0.352763 0.681573 1.305497 2.433945 4.624808
2025-04-20 0.084565 0.174070 0.344243 0.688126 1.362411 2.620822 5.140937
2025-04-27 0.080780 0.172053 0.351237 0.724796 1.480063 2.931477 5.923309
2025-05-04 0.075041 0.165511 0.349026 0.743984 1.567851 3.198976 6.661508
2025-05-11 0.068842 0.157161 0.342189 0.753075 1.636897 3.438672 7.375311
2025-05-18 0.062559 0.147662 0.331603 0.752629 1.685500 3.641638 8.035807
2025-05-25 0.056491 0.137735 0.318736 0.745385 1.718250 3.814668 8.652032
2025-06-01 0.051676 0.129998 0.309656 0.745280 1.766405 4.025192 9.373095
2025-06-08 0.045612 0.118369 0.290175 0.718617 1.750767 4.093936 9.784743
2025-06-15 0.044891 0.119835 0.301522 0.766274 1.913978 4.581283 11.210099
2025-06-22 0.040170 0.110431 0.285487 0.745267 1.910249 4.684314 11.744734
2025-06-29 0.035758 0.101185 0.268634 0.719982 1.892771 4.752655 12.203181
2025-07-06 0.031962 0.093034 0.253491 0.697079 1.878355 4.826450 12.683027
2025-07-13 0.029922 0.089456 0.249796 0.703777 1.941058 5.097067 13.689333